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Dubai’s housing market is cooling into a more sustainable phase after years of rapid growth. Analysts say 2026 oversupply fears are exaggerated; risks are concentrated in supply-heavy districts and small apartments. Population growth and strong absorption support prices, while villas remain undersupplied. Off-plan dominates transactions, and delivery delays may curb supply shocks.

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Abu Dhabi’s 2025 real estate sales jumped from $27bn to nearly $39bn, with transactions up 49%, making the capital ~10–12% of UAE deal value. Rents are leading (strong gains on Reem/Yas/Saadiyat). For 2026, growth is forecast to stay strong but disciplined, with new supply absorbed gradually and rising international demand.

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Read the full article on Arabian Business

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Read the full article on Zawya

Dubai Real Estate Transactions as Reported on the 11th of February 2026

On the 11-Feb-2026, the total transacted value reached AED 1.75bn. Off-plan dominated with AED 1.09bn (62.2%), while Ready accounted for AED 0.66bn (37.8%).

Category

Off-Plan (AED millions)

Ready (AED millions)

Flats

767.0

423.9

Villas

236.4

136.9

Hotel Apt. & Rooms

5.1

38.6

Commercial

82.5

63.0

Total

1,091.0

662.5

Off-Plan Market Performance

Total Value: AED 1.09bn

  • Flats: AED 767.0m (70.3%)

  • Villas: AED 236.4m (21.7%)

  • Hotel Apts & Rooms: AED 5.1m (0.5%)

  • Commercial: AED 82.5m (7.6%)

Off-plan activity was overwhelmingly flat-led, with villas providing a strong secondary layer of demand.

Ready Market Performance

Total Value: AED 662.5m

  • Flats: AED 423.9m (64.0%)

  • Villas: AED 136.9m (20.7%)

  • Hotel Apts & Rooms: AED 38.6m (5.8%)

  • Commercial: AED 63.0m (9.5%)

In the ready market, flats remained the anchor, while commercial and hotel units added meaningful depth to turnover.

On The Micro Level

Market Insights & Outlook

The day’s performance reflects a clear preference for off-plan exposure, with flats driving the bulk of value across both segments. Ready activity remained solid and more diversified, suggesting steady end-user and investor demand, while off-plan continues to capture momentum through scale and pricing breadth.

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