Dubai’s 2026 property cycle looks structural, not speculative: VVS Estate says strategic capital drives ~40% of the market. More high-value deals (9% above AED 5m), off-plan over 60% of value, and tighter DLD regulation/escrow are reshaping risk, liquidity, and long-term investment behaviour.
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The Dubai real estate market is entering a more selective, investment-led chapter after a record-breaking 2025 that saw more than 270,000 transactions totalling AED917bn ($249.7bn), according to Banke International Properties analysis.
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Dubai’s Dh20m+ luxury market is busy but confusing. In 2025, over 3,600 deals topped Dh20m (750+ over Dh50m; 250+ over Dh100m). Buyers are urged to rely on transaction data, specialised agents, and verified, real inventory to benchmark value and avoid hype and duplicate listings.
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Al Barari is positioning itself as Dubai’s next super-prime hotspot, driven by a nature-and-wellness lifestyle (60% of its master plan in greenery/water). It saw record 2025 villa sales, including AED100m+ deals, and prices up 111% since 2022 (per DLD cited). “Maison Alma” exemplifies the trend toward bespoke, renovated mega-villas.
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Engel & Völkers says Dubai real estate is shifting from rapid growth to a more mature, quality- and sustainability-led cycle. Residential transactions rose 20.8% YOY to 15,981, while value jumped 55.3% to AED55.9bn, driven by premium deals (1,000+ above AED10m). Commercial value climbed 82% to AED17.1bn, with Grade A office scarcity pushing buyers toward off-plan.
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Dubai landlords are refurbishing and offering more flexible lease terms (6–9 months, rent-free periods, staggered payments) as tenants become more value- and affordability-driven. Colliers says the 2025 Smart Rental Index improved transparency in renewals. Supply is rising sharply in 2026, moderating rent growth versus 2022–24.
Read the full article on Khaleej Times
Omniyat priced a $600m five-year senior unsecured sukuk at par with a 7.25% coupon (T+363bp), tightened from 7.625% IPTs. Orders peaked at $1.8bn, ending ~$1.5bn. Expected rating BB-/BB-, it will list on LSE ISM and Nasdaq Dubai under its $2bn programme.
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Indian developer Casagrand broke ground on Casagrand HERMINA, its first UAE project on Dubai Islands (Dh420m). The 131-home development starts at Dh1.92m with a 60/40 plan, targeting second-home and investor demand. Construction is underway for Q2 2028 completion; Casagrand plans 6m sq ft of UAE projects in three years.
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RAK Properties plans multiple 2026 launches, building on strong 2025 progress in its Mina masterplan. Several projects are near completion: Granada II (99.8%) and Bay Residences II (99.61%). Cape Hayat is 86.5% complete, BayViews 92.7%, while Edge, SKAI, Mirasol I are starting construction and Quattro Del Mar is 25% complete.
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BCD Global bought a second Dubai site in Dubai South after selling out its first freehold project in Warsan within weeks. The 70-year developer targets AED 300m UAE revenue in H1 2026, focusing on governance-led, mid-market homes for end-users and long-term investors, with more launches imminent.
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Sharjah’s January transactions hit AED9.3bn, up 34.8% YoY, across 10,333 deals and 23.8m sq ft traded. ACRES expo (AED5bn sales) boosted activity. Muwaileh Commercial led (787 sales; AED1.1bn value). Biggest sale: Al Khan AED90m; largest mortgage: Al Tay West AED240m.
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MAG Group’s Keturah Ardh Phase 1 sold out: 558 luxury townhouse plots were bought in six months for AED1bn. Marketed by fäm Properties, the heritage-and-wellness community in Al Rowaiyah First targets scarce freehold townhouse land. Infrastructure Q1 2026, construction Q4 2026, completion 2030.
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Dubai Real Estate Transactions as Reported on the 26th of February 2026
On the 26-Feb-2026, the total transacted value reached AED 2,094,490,437. Off-plan dominated with AED 1,184,957,663 (56.6%), while Ready accounted for AED 909,532,774 (43.4%).
Category | Off-Plan (AED millions) | Ready (AED millions) |
|---|---|---|
Flats | 885.2 | 644.8 |
Villas | 147.7 | 186.0 |
Hotel Apt. & Rooms | 2.6 | 30.5 |
Commercial | 149.4 | 48.1 |
Total | 1,185.0 | 909.5 |
Off-Plan Market Performance
Total Value: AED 1,184,957,663
Flats: AED 885,203,572 (74.7%)
Villas: AED 147,683,036 (12.5%)
Hotel Apt. & Rooms: AED 2,641,240 (0.2%)
Commercial: AED 149,429,816 (12.6%)
Off-plan demand was overwhelmingly apartment-led, with flats contributing nearly three-quarters of value, while villas and commercial were broadly level in the low-teens.
Ready Market Performance
Total Value: AED 909,532,774
Flats: AED 644,834,870 (70.9%)
Villas: AED 186,009,126 (20.5%)
Hotel Apt. & Rooms: AED 30,539,000 (3.4%)
Commercial: AED 48,149,778 (5.3%)
The ready segment remained led by flats, but villas played a notably larger role than in off-plan, highlighting continued appetite for immediate end-user family stock.
On The Micro Level
Market Insights & Outlook
Overall activity leaned clearly toward off-plan, signalling confidence in future delivery and structured payment plans. At the same time, the ready market showed stronger villa participation, suggesting that buyers seeking immediate occupancy are prioritising larger homes, while prime apartment demand remains the anchor across both segments.
Data Source: Dubai Land Department
*Only freehold transactions were used